澳新银行预计下半年油价将稳定在60美元|美元_新浪财经

原标题：澳新银行预计下半年油价将稳定在60美元

　　中国石化新闻网讯据今日油价网站1月15日消息澳新银行周五表示，布伦特原油价格将在今年下半年触及每桶60美元，然后稳定在这一水平，原因是沙特第一季度额外减产有助于库存减少。

　　澳新银行分析师表示：“在需求持续疲软的风险不断上升的情况下，沙特阿拉伯将石油产量削减100万桶/日的举措稳定了石油市场。空中交通仍然低迷，而公路运输燃料的需求又在下降。”

　　近期石油需求前景对石油来说并不具有建设性意义，因为欧洲主要经济体正处于封锁状态，以应对不断飙升的病例。美国也在应对每日新增病例的高增长，而现在中国正在扩大封锁范围，以抗击病毒的死灰复燃。

　　澳新银行表示，短期需求存在下行风险，未来几个月，短期需求可能会限制油价。

　　不过，分析师预计，2021年下半年，全球石油需求将增加400-500万桶/日。

　　根据FXStreet引用的澳新银行的报告：“我们现在预计布伦特原油将在2021年下半年触及60美元/桶，然后稳定在这一水平。WTI原油应该遵循类似的趋势。”

　　王磊摘译自今日油价

　　原文如下：

ANZ Bank Sees Oil Stabilizing At $60 In H2 2021

Brent Crude prices are set to hit $60 a barrel in the second half of this year and then stabilize at those levels, thanks to inventory drawdowns also helped by the extra Saudi production cut in the first quarter, ANZ Bank said on Friday.

“The move by Saudi Arabia to cut output by 1mb/d has stabilised the oil market amid rising risks of ongoing weakness in demand. Air traffic remains subdued, while demand for road transportation fuel is falling again,” analysts at ANZ Bank said.

The near-term oil demand outlook is not constructive for oil as major economies in Europe are on lockdown to fight soaring COVID-19 cases. The United States is also grappling with high new daily cases, and now China is expanding lockdowns to battle a resurgence of the virus.

There are downside risks to short-term demand, which are likely to cap oil prices in the next few months, ANZ Bank said, as carried by FXStreet.

The analysts, however, expect global oil demand to rise by between 4 million barrels per day (bpd) and 5 million bpd in the second half of 2021.

“We now expect Brent crude to hit$60/bbl in H2 2021 before stabilising at those levels. WTI crude should follow a similar path,” according to ANZ Bank’s note quoted by FXStreet.