全球最大原油贸易商预计今年原油库存将继续减少|原油库存_新浪财经

原标题：全球最大原油贸易商预计今年原油库存将继续减少

中国石化新闻网讯据油价网2020年9月16日报道，全球最大的独立原油交易商维多集团(Vitol Group)预计，全球原油库存在今年的剩余时间里将继续收缩，而其竞争对手和许多分析师则认为市场供过于求的情况将日益严重。

维多集团首席执行官拉塞尔·哈迪在周三公布的一次采访中对彭博社记者表示，全球原油库存自今夏初达到峰值12亿桶以来迄今已减少了大约3亿桶，9-12月期间料将再减少2.5亿-3亿桶。

哈迪对彭博社记者表示，在过去几个月里购买了大量廉价原油的炼油厂预计将在减少全球原油库存方面发挥一个关键作用。

哈迪表示，全球汽油需求可能在冬季放缓，但柴油需求可能会抵消这一影响，而航空燃油消费“看起来仍很糟糕”，但哈迪补充称，未来几个月需求复苏很可能参差不齐。

哈迪告诉彭比社：“情况在好转之前可能会有点困难，但我们相信我们会度过难关，情况会稳步改善。”

与另一家国际著名大型大宗商品交易商托克集团相比，维多集团似乎更看好原油的短期前景，而托克集团预计，到今年年底，市场将呈现“以供应为主”的局面，随着需求复苏停滞，到今年年底前，原油库存将不断增加。

托克集团石油交易联席主管本•鲁克周一在一次会议上表示，正如彭博社报道的那样，市场在好转之前会变得更糟。根据鲁克的说法，市场上的供过于求已经达到了租油轮进行海上储存开始有利可图的地步。

李峻编译自油价网

原文如下：

World’s No.1 Oil Trader Sees Crude Inventories Shrinking This Year

Vitol Group, the world’s largest independent oil trader, expects global oil inventories to continue drawing down for the rest of the year, unlike its rivals and many analysts who see a growing glut on the market.

The world’s stockpiles of oil have diminished by around 300 million barrels since peaking at 1.2 billion barrels early this summer, and are expected to decline by another 250 million-300 million barrels between September and December, Vitol’s chief executive Russell Hardy told Bloomberg in an interview published on Wednesday.

Refineries that have bought a lot of cheap oil in the past few months are expected to play a key role in drawing down global oil inventories, Hardy told Bloomberg.

Gasoline demand could falter in the winter, but diesel demand could offset it, while jet fuel consumption still “looks bad,” Vitol’s top executive said, but added that demand recovery is likely to be uneven in the coming months.

“Things may get a little more difficult before it gets better, but we do believe that we’ll get through it and things will steadily improve,” Hardy told Bloomberg.

Vitol looks more bullish on oil’s short-term prospects than another major commodity trader, Trafigura, which expects a "supply-heavy" market through the end of the year, with inventories building by the end of 2020 as demand recovery stalls.

The market will get worse before it gets better, Ben Luckock, Co-Head of Oil Trading at Trafigura, said at a conference on Monday, as carried by Bloomberg. The oversupply on the market is reaching the point where chartering tankers for floating storage becomes profitable, according to Luckock.