高盛预计油价或将飙升至每桶90美元

原标题：高盛预计油价或将飙升至每桶90美元

　　中国石化新闻网讯 据美国彭博新闻社9月22日报道，高盛集团商品研究部全球主管Jeff Currie表示，如果北半球即将到来的冬天的气温比正常情况下更冷，油价可能会飙升至每桶90美元。

　　这一涨幅将比高盛集团目前的预测高出10美元。伴随着天然气价格的长期高企，这已经给英国的电力供应商带来了灾难性的后果。

　　Currie在周三接受彭博电视台记者采访时表示，在全球原油产量受限之际，欧洲天然气供应趋紧将提高石油作为替代能源的需求。 美国墨西哥湾飓风过后的破坏是他提到的油价将飙升的全球因素之一。

　　Currie表示，与此同时，目前全球天然气价格涨势没有减弱的迹象，“尤其是在美国以外地区”，因供应紧张导致需求激增。

　　Currie说：“供应链已经严重枯竭，系统无法应对任何类型的中断。”

　　伦敦时间9月22日下午4点09分，基准国际原油期货价格上涨1.4%，至每桶75.39美元，今年以来已累计上涨46%。

　　李峻 编译自 美国彭博新闻社

　　原文如下：

　　Goldman Sachs projects $90 oil if winter is colder than normal

　　Oil may surge to $90 a barrel if the approaching winter in the northern hemisphere proves colder than normal, said Jeff Currie, global head of commodities research at Goldman Sachs Group Inc.

　　Such a rise would be $10 higher than the bank’s current forecast and would be accompanied by a prolonged period of high natural gas prices that already have had disastrous consequences for U.K. power providers.

　　Tightening gas supplies in Europe will elevate demand for oil as an alternative at a time when global crude output is constrained, Currie said during a Bloomberg Television interview on Wednesday. Post-hurricane disruptions in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico were among the worldwide factors he cited.

　　Meanwhile, the gas rally shows no signs of abating, “particularly outside the U.S.” as tight supplies run headlong into surging demand, Currie said.

　　“Supply chains are so severely depleted that the system can not accommodate any type of disruption,” Currie said.

　　Benchmark international oil futures rose 1.4% to $75.39 at 4:09 p.m. in London, extending the year-to-date advance to 46%.

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