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Parmalat¡¯s accounts are turning sour

http://finance.sina.com.cn 2003Äê11ÔÂ19ÈÕ 12:00 ÐÂÀ˲ƾ­

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    ÅÁÂêÀ­ÌØ(Parmalat)µÄÅ£Ä̺ÍÈéÀÒÒ²ÐíºÜÐÂÏÊ£¬µ«ÔÚͶ×ÊÕß¿´À´£¬ËüµÄÕËÄ¿È´ÕýÔÚ±äζ¡£ÉÏÖÜÄ©£¬Ò»¼ÒծȨÒøÐеĹÜÀíÈËÔ±±íʾ£¬¸Ã¹«Ë¾µÄ»ù±¾ÒµÎñÉпɣ¬µ«¿ØÖƸù«Ë¾µÄ̹¼Ã(Tanzi)¼Ò×壬Æä²ÆÎñ×´¿öÐèÒª¼ÓÒÔ¸ÄÉÆ¡£

Parmalat's milk and cheeses might be fresh but its accounts are looking increasingly sour for investors. At the weekend, an executive at a creditor bank said the company's basic business was sound but that the finances of the Tanzi family, which controls Parmalat, needed to be improved.

    Êг¡ÔÙ´ÎÃÈÉú¶Ô¸Ã¹«Ë¾µÄÒÉÎÊ£ºÒ»¼ÒÈ¥ÄêʵÏÖ75ÒÚÅ·Ôª£¨ºÏ88ÒÚÃÀÔª£©ÏúÊÛ¶îµÄÈ«ÇòÈéÒµ¼¯ÍÅ£¬ÎªºÎ»áÓÐ53ÒÚÅ·ÔªµÄÕ®ÎñºÍ35ÒÚÅ·ÔªµÄÁ÷¶¯ÐÔ×ʲúÄØ£¿²»¹ý£¬ÅÁÂêÀ­ÌØËùÓµÓÐËƺõºÜ»úÃôµÄÄÜÁ¦£¬¿ÉÒÔͨ¹ýÊÕ¹º¿ìËÙÌá¸ßÀûÈóºÍÊÕÈ룬²Å´òÏûÊг¡ÒÉÂÇ¡£

Questions have re-emerged over why a worldwide dairysgroupswith €7.5bn (.8bn) in sales last year should have gross debt of €5.3bn and stated liquidity of €3.5bn. Only Parmalat's seemingly astute ability to rapidly grow earnings and revenues with acquisitions had placated those concerns.

    ¶øÔÚ¹ýÈ¥Ò»ÖÜÄÚ£¬Êг¡¶ÔÅÁÂêÀ­Ìر¾À´´àÈõµÄÐÅÐĶ¯Ò¡ÁË¡£Ïà·´£¬ÅÁÂêÀ­Ìع«Ë¾Ò²³ÉÁËÓÖÒ»¸öÈÃÈ˾¯¾õµÄ¹ÊÊ¡£¾Ý˵£¬Õâ¼ÒÓɼÒ×å²Ù×ݵĹ«Ë¾ÐÐÊÂÒþÃØ£¬ÀûÓñ¡ÈõµÄ²ÆÎñ±¨¸æ¹æ¶¨»ñÒ棬ÒÔ±ã»Ø±ÜͶ×ÊÕßµÄÐèÇó¡£

During the past week, that fragile confidence has been shattered. Parmalat instead became another cautionary tale about a secretive family-controlled company that profited from weak reporting rules insgroupsto ignore investor demands.

    ·ÖÎöʦ±íʾ£¬ÅÁÂêÀ­ÌØÆìÏ¿عɹ«Ë¾ÍøÂç±é²¼È«Çò£¬¹«Ë¾Ö®¼ä´û¿î´ï8ÒÚÅ·Ôª¡£ËäÈ»¸Ã¼¯ÍŲ»´ó»áÓпą̊µÄΣÏÕ£¬²»¹ýÒªÏë»Ö¸´Êг¡¶ÔÅÁÂêÀ­ÌصÄÐÅÐÄ£¬¹â¿¿¹«Ë¾¹ÜÀíÈËÔ±¼°´´½¨Õß̹¼Ã¼Ò×åÔÚÉÏÖÜËù×÷µÄ¿Õ·º±£Ö¤£¬ÊÇÔ¶Ô¶²»¹»µÄ¡£

Although analysts say Parmalat's global web of sub-holding companies, with more than €800m in inter-company loans, appears not to be a teetering house of cards, it will take far more than last week's bland reassurances from Parmalat executives and the founding Tanzi family to restore faith.

    ÅÁÂêÀ­ÌصÄÂ鷳ʼÓÚÒ»ÖÜÇ°£¬µ±Ê±£¬Îª¹«Ë¾½øÐÐÉó¼ÆµÄµÂÇÚ»á¼ÆʦÐÐ(Deloitte & Touche)Ö¸³ö£¬¹«Ë¾Óнü5ÒÚÅ·ÔªÏÖ½ðÒÑͶÈëפ¿ªÂüȺµº(Cayman Islands)µÄÒ»¼Ò²»ÎªÈËÖªµÄͶ×Ê»ù½ðÖУ¬Òò´ËËü²»ÄÜ°ÑÕâ±ÊÏÖ½ðÊÓΪÁ÷¶¯ÐÔ×ʲú¡£µÂÇÚ»¹±íʾ£¬ÅÁÂêÀ­ÌØÒÑ°Ñ1.35ÒÚÃÀÔª¼ÆÈ빫˾ÉÏ°ëÄêµÄÒ»´ÎÐÔÊÕÒ棬Ï൱ÓÚ¹«Ë¾ÉÏ°ëÄêµÄ¾»ÀûÈó¡£Õâ±ÊÊÕÒæÀ´×ÔÓëÉÏÊöÏÊΪÈËÖª»ù½ðµÄÒ»Ïî»õ±ÒµôÆÚ£¬¸Ã»ù½ð±»³Æ×÷Epicurum¡£±ê×¼ÆÕ¶û(Standard & Poor's)Á¢¼´Íþв˵£¬Òª°ÑÅÁÂêÀ­ÌصÄÕ®Îñ¼¶±ð½µÖÁ¡°À¬»ø¡±¼¶¡£

The trouble began one week ago when Deloitte & Touche, Parmalat's auditor, noted that nearly €500m in cash had been invested in an unknown investment fund based in the Cayman Islands, which it could not consider liquid. Deloitte also said Parmalat had booked m in first-half one-time gains, the equivalent of its first-half net profit, from a currency swap contract with the same obscure fund, called Epicurum. Standard & Poor's immediately threatened to cut Parmalat's debt to junk status.

    ÉÏÖÜÎ壬ÅÁÂêÀ­ÌسÐŵ£¬½«ÔÚÁ½ÖÜÄÚ´ÓÉÏÊö»ù½ðÖг·×Ê£¬´Ó¶ø³õ²½»º½âÊг¡¶Ô¹«Ë¾Á÷¶¯ÐÔΣ»úµÄµ£ÓÇ¡£µ«½Ó×Å£¬¸Ã¹«Ë¾ÔÙ´ÎÁîÊг¡³Ô¾ª¡£

On Friday, after initially easing fears of a liquidity crunch by promising to pull out of the fund within two weeks, Parmalat stunned the stock market again.

    Ê×ÏÈ£¬ÅÁÂêÀ­ÌØÐû²¼£¬¹«Ë¾½öÉÏÈÎ8¸öÔµÄÊ×ϯ²ÆÎñ¹Ù¼´½«ÀëÖ°¡£Æä´Î£¬¹«Ë¾Í¸Â¶Ëµ£¬¹«Ë¾¸ºÕ®µÚÈý¼¾¶ÈÒÑÉýÖÁ60ÒÚÅ·Ôª£¬Á÷¶¯ÐÔ×ʲúÖÁ42ÒÚÅ·Ôª£¬Í¬ÆÚµÄÓªÔËÀûÈóȷʵÌá¸ßÁË8%£¬µ«ÀûÈ󣨲»°üÀ¨Ë°½ð¼°Î´Åû¶µÄÒ»´ÎÐÔÏîÄ¿£©Ï½µ13%£¬ÖÁ1.08ÒÚÅ·Ôª¡£¹«Ë¾Ã»ÓÐÌṩ¾»ÀûÈóÊý×Ö¡£ÒÀÕÕÒâ´óÀû·¨ÂÉ£¬Èý¼¾¶È²ÆÎñ±¨¸æÖв»±ØÌṩÉÏÊöÊý×Ö¡£

Firstly, it announced that its chief financial officer of only eight months was leaving. Secondly, it revealed that debt had risen to €6bn and liquidity to €4.2bn during the third quarter. Operating profit in the quarter did rise 8 per cent but profit before taxes and undisclosed one-time items fell 13 per cent to €108m. No net profit figure was given. Under Italian law, none is required for the period.

    ¶ø¸üÔã¸âµÄÊÇ£¬ÔÚΪ·ÖÎöʦÕÙ¿ªµÄµç»°»áÒéÖУ¬Â¬ÆõÑÇŵ•µÂ¶ûË÷¶û´ïÍÐ(Luciano del Soldato)×÷³öµÄ»Ø´ðÒý·¢Á˸ü¶àÒÉÎÊ¡£ËûÊǹ«Ë¾ÏÖÈÎÊ×ϯ²ÆÎñ¹Ù£¬ÇÒ³¤ÆÚµ£Èι«Ë¾ÐÐÕþ¹ÙÔ±¡£ÀýÈ磬·ÖÎöʦѯÎÊ£¬ËûΪºÎ²»ÄÜ͸¶µÚÈý¼¾¶ÈµÄÏÖ½ðÁ÷Êý×Ö£¿ÁíÍ⣬һ±Ê5.72ÒÚÅ·ÔªµÄÆÚƱ£¨ÆäÖС°¾ø´ó²¿·Ö¡±ÓÉÒøÐе£±££©Ó빫˾ÔÚʳƷ¹¤³ÌÁìÓòºÏ×ÊÆóÒµµÄÈÚ×ÊÏà¹Ø£¬¼ÈÈ»Èç´Ë£¬Õâ±ÊÆÚƱÔõÄÜ×÷ΪÁ÷¶¯ÐÔ×ʲúÈëÕËÄØ£¿¶øÇÒÕËÄ¿ÖÐûÓÐ×¢Ã÷ºÏ×ÊÆóÒµµÄÃû³Æ¡£

Worse yet, during a conference call with analysts, Luciano del Soldato, the new CFO and a longtime company executive, gave answers that raised even more questions. Why, for example, could he not disclose third-quarter cashflow? How could €572m in promissory notes, "a major part" of which are guaranteed by banks, be considered liquid if they are tied to the financing of unspecified joint ventures in food engineering?

    µÂ¶ûË÷¶û´ïÍÐÏÈÉú»¹Ìá¼°ÁËһϵÁÐÓëËû·½´ï³ÉµÄ»õ±ÒµôÆÚºÏÔ¼£¬ÓÐЩºÏÔ¼Ó®Àû£¬ÁíһЩÔòûÓÐÓ®Àû¡£µ±·ÖÎöʦÎÊËû£¬¼ÈÈ»ÏñEpicurumÕâÑùµÄ¹«Ë¾¼ÈûÓÐÆÀ¼¶ÓÖ²»ÎªÈËËùÖª£¬ÄÇô£¬ËûÔõÄÜ·ÅÐĵذѸù«Ë¾×÷Ϊ½»Ò×·½ÄØ£¿Ëû»Ø´ð˵£¬¡°ÒòΪ¸Ã¹«Ë¾¹ýÈ¥Ò»Ö±Óг¥¸¶ÄÜÁ¦¡±£¬¶øÇҸù«Ë¾¡°´ðÓ¦Ôں̵ܶÄʱ¼äÄÚ°ÑÎÒÃǵģ¨»ù½ðͶ×Ê£©±äÏÖ¡±¡£

Mr Del Soldato also told of a series of currency swap contracts with other parties, some profitable, others not. Asked how he could be sure Epicurum, for one, could be considered a sound counterparty given that it was not rated and not known, he answered: "Because it has always paid in the past" and it "agreed to liquidate our [fund investment] in a very short time".

    µÂ¶ûË÷¶û´ïÍÐÏÈÉúµÄÈ·ÖØÉ꣬ÅÁÂêÀ­ÌØÓë̹¼Ã¼Ò×åÆìÏÂÔËӪʧ°ÜµÄÂÃÐÐÉçÖ®¼äûÓвÆÎñ¹ØÁª¡£µ«Ëû³ÐÈÏ£¬ÄǼÒÉèÔÚ¿ªÂüȺµºµÄ»ù½ðÕý¿¼ÂÇÏòÅÁÂêÀ­ÌØ¿ÉÄܸÐÐËȤµÄ¡°ÐÝÏÐÓéÀÖÀࡱ¹«Ë¾Í¶×Ê£¬ÕâʹͶ×ÊÕ߸е½»ÅÂÒ£¬ÒòΪËûÃÇÒ²ÊǸոջñϤ£¬ÉÏÊö»ù½ðµÄÁ÷¶¯ÐÔÊǺÜÇ¿µÄ¡£

Mr Del Soldato did reiterate that Parmalat had no financial connections with the Tanzi family's failing tourism group. But his admission that the Cayman Islands fund was looking to invest in "leisure and pleasure" companies that could have interested Parmalat rattled investors who had also just been told the fund's investments were to be highly liquid.

    ËûûÓжÔÅÁ¶ûÂê×ãÇò¾ãÀÖ²¿(AC Parma)µÄÇ°¾°¼ÓÒÔ˵Ã÷¡£¸Ã¾ãÀÖ²¿ÊÇÅÁÂêÀ­ÌØÓµÓеÄÒ»¼Ò¿÷ËðµÄ×ãÇò¶Ó¡£È¥Ä꣬¸ÃÇò¶Óͨ¹ý·¢ÐÐÒ»±ÊÓÉ×ʲúµ£±£µÄծȯ£¬½«×Ô¼ºÎ´À´ÊÕÈëµÄºÜ´óÒ»²¿·ÖÊÛ³ö¡£

Nor did he clarify the future of AC Parma, the lossmaking football team owned by thesgroupsthat last year sold a good portion of future revenues through an asset-backed bond.

    ¿ÉÄÜÒª¼ÙÒÔʱÈÕ£¬²ÅÄÜ´ÓÅÁÂêÀ­ÌØ»ñµÃ¸üÁîÈËÂúÒâµÄ»Ø´ð¡£µÂ¶ûË÷¶û´ïÍÐÏÈÉú¹ýÈ¥ÔøÊǸ£Ë¹ÍЕͨÄÉ(Fausto Tonna)µÄµÃÁ¦ÖúÊÖ¡£Í¨ÄÉÏÈÉúÔÚÅÁÂêÀ­Ìس¤ÆÚµ£ÈÎÊ×ϯ²ÆÎñ¹Ù£¬´òÔìÁ˸ù«Ë¾¸´ÔÓµÄ×ʲú¸ºÕ®±í£¬ÇÒ¾­³£µ¡Âý·ÖÎöʦ¡£Í¨ÄÉÏÈÉú½ñÄê´ºÌìÏĄ̂£¬ÒòΪËû¼Æ»®·¢ÐÐ5ÒÚŷԪծȯ£¬Í¶×ÊÕ߶Դ˱íʾ²»Âú¡£ËäÈ»ÅÁÂêÀ­Ìص±Ê±¶ÔÍâ±£Ö¤²»ÔÙ·¢ÐÐծȯ£¬µ«ºÜ¿ì¾ÍÔÚ˽ÏÂÀï·¢ÐÐÁËÁíÒ»±Êծȯ¡£

Receiving more satisfactory answers could take time. Mr Del Soldato had been the right hand man to Fausto Tonna, the long-time CFO who built up the complex balance sheet and regularly snubbed analysts. Mr Tonna stepped down this spring when investors complained about a €500m bond he was planning. Although Parmalat then promised no further bond issues, another was quickly placed privately.

    Ó¢¹ú»ù½ð¹«Ë¾ºÕĪ˹½¹µã×ʲú¹ÜÀí¹«Ë¾(Hermes Focus Asset Management)ÈÏΪ£¬ÅÁÂêÀ­ÌØ¿ÉÒÔÔÚÁ÷¶¯ÐÔ×ʲúÕ¼¹«Ë¾ÊÕÈë10%£¨´óÔ¼²»µ½35ÒÚÅ·ÔªÏֽ𣩵Ļù´¡ÉÏÔËÓª£¬¶ø¶àÓàµÄÁ÷¶¯ÐÔ×ʲúÓ¦µ±ÓÃÀ´¼õÉÙ¸ºÕ®¡£

Hermes Focus Asset Management, the UK fund, believes Parmalat could operate on liquidity equivalent to 10 per cent of revenues, or some €3.5bn less in cash, and that much of the excess liquidity should be used to reduce debt.

    һλ·ÖÎöʦ˵£º¡°ÎÒÃDz»Ì«µ£Ðĸù«Ë¾µÄÓ®ÀûÄÜÁ¦¡£Ö±µ½Ä¿Ç°ÎªÖ¹£¬ÎÒÃǵ£Óǹ«Ë¾µÄ×ʽðЧÂÊʵÔÚÌ«µÍ¡£Èç½ñ£¬ÎÒÃǵ£ÓǹÜÀí²ãðÁ˺ܴóµÄ·çÏÕ£¬¶øÇÒÊÔͼ¼ÓÒÔÑڸǡ£¡±

Said one analyst: "We're not greatly concerned about the profitability of the business. Until now we were worried that the finances were simply very inefficient. Now we're worried that management has taken large risks and has tried to hide them."

    ÖÁÓڸù«Ë¾µÄÅ£ÄÌ£¬ÂòÕßÖ»ÏëÖªµÀÄÌÅ£(ÒëÕß×¢:Ö¸¹«Ë¾)Êǽ¡¿µµÄ¡£

As with milk, buyers like to know that the cows are healthy.

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