转自:人民论坛
【摘要】城乡收入差距居高不下是全球性难题,我国新型城镇化改革成果能否公平惠及不同人群和地区,进而缩小城乡居民收入差距,是一个备受关注的问题。本文借助三批新型城镇化综合试点提供的准自然实验背景,基于2012年至2019年2805个县级行政区的面板数据和多期双重差分模型,使用插补估计方法对政策效应进行评估后发现,在这一较短时间段内,新型城镇化改革对试点县级行政区的城乡人均可支配收入差距有正向影响。产业结构转型升级加快、地方政府宏观调控力度加大、非农固定资产投资占比提高、县域耕地面积减少以及由于户口性质转换导致的纯统计意义上的城乡收入水平变化,是该影响的重要作用机制。异质性分析显示,中部和西部试点地区的城乡收入差距在政策作用下显著缩小,东部地区则相反,这一差异表明新型城镇化改革向中西部倾斜的政策举措有利于缩小城乡差距。
【关键字】城镇化 城乡收入差距 城乡融合发展 新型城镇化改革 多期双重差分模型
【中图分类号】F299.2/F124.7 【文献标识码】A
【DOI】10.16619/j.cnki.rmltxsqy.2024.16.011
【作者简介】清华大学经济管理学院 侯婉薇
注释
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