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机构近期重点关注50只股票

http://www.sina.com.cn 2007年07月17日 04:40 中国证券网-上海证券报

  新浪提示:本文属于个股点评栏目,仅为证券咨询人士对一只股票的个人观点和分析,并非正式的新闻报道,新浪不保证其真实性,一切有关该股的有效信息,以沪深交易所的公告为准,敬请投资者注意风险。

  ⊙德邦证券 张海东

  根据上海朝阳永续对近一个月机构出具的个股研究报告数量统计,有将近50家公司近一个月关注的研究报告在5份以上。近期两轮大跌以后,市场陷入迷茫,每日成交额也大幅下滑。研究机构近期重点关注的股票,有助于我们厘清思路,增加选股的准确度。

  统计显示,这些个股在此次的下跌过程中确实表现出相当强的抗跌性,这50只个股中,“5·30”以来至昨日,上涨的有23只,区间涨幅超过10%有13只;另外,50只个股中区间表现超越大盘的有38只,从而足以证明研究创造价值的机构优势。参考表格统计数据可以把握以下几个方向:一、对于买入评级的个股,由于是研究员基于基本面判断,认为未来有望将跑赢市场的股票,投资者可以中长线关注;二、对于最新出具研究报告的,属于调高评级的个股,投资者可以重点关注;三、对于有研究员给予卖出评级的个股,投资者就应该及时规避其风险。

  通过分析,近一个月被机构高度关注的个股主要分布在金融、地产、酿酒食品、医药、汽车、

化工、建材、机械等行业中,对于此轮行情的龙头板块,
人民币升值
概念、金融、地产、以及消费升级概念仍得到机构的青睐,金融包括:招商银行民生银行工商银行中信证券等;酿酒食品包括:五粮液、泸州老窑、张裕A、青岛啤酒、双汇发展、安琪酵母;从机构重点关注的个股来看,仍旧延续了价值投资的理念,行业龙头、企业的竞争优势、长期盈利、成长性仍是机构所重点考核的标准,另外估值是否具有吸引力同样也不能忽视。

  综合分析,我们在未来行情中,可以把握两个思路:第一、有众多研究员同时给出买入评级的个股,比如:上海汽车中国石化特变电工华海药业等,对于这些个股来说,是被机构所广为看好的个股,虽然近期可能也出现较大幅度的调整,但仍值得投资者中长线关注,近期的调整也正是提供给中长线投资者以逢低吸纳的机会;第二、对于那些低市盈率的个股,比如:中海发展云天化赣粤高速、工商银行等,这些个股存在明显的价值低估,具有较大的安全边际,对于那些低风险偏好的投资者可作为首选。

  近一个月机构关注程度较高个股一览

  序号代码名称总股本(万股)流通A股(万股)该股报告数关注机构数关注研究员Go-Goal评级报告数一致预期EPS(元/股)一致预期PE(倍)

  买入收集买入方向中性派发卖出卖出方向2007(E)2008(E)2009(E)2007(E)2008(E)2009(E)

  1600016民生银行1,447,908.04731,651.861312124592------0.410.5660.7529.10421.04215.883

  2600104上海汽车655,102.91148,075.1613888513--------0.7380.860.99527.77323.82620.593

  3000157中联重科76,050.0033,462.001291028101------1.1441.6292.28333.03723.19516.555

  4000858五粮液379,596.67144,086.34129921012--------0.4380.6360.86466.75945.97533.822

  5000895双汇发展60,599.4929,418.99111010549--------0.8761.1491.55450.91338.81928.704

  6600028中国石化8,670,243.90358,400.0011788210--------0.8020.9591.0315.85713.25612.341

  7600031三一重工96,000.0044,187.38119103691------1.261.5472.38833.58127.36217.726

  8600308华泰股份54,864.5234,639.4911101146101------1.0661.2671.38421.01817.67916.188

  9600521华海药业23,017.4113,550.641089639--------0.6030.7940.99337.1628.22922.567

  10600585海螺水泥156,643.4226,278.401088549--------1.6012.0932.54630.87623.61419.41

  11601398工商银行33,401,885.00918,078.0010993364------0.2060.2680.34426.15520.13615.709

  12600089特变电工42,701.9428,809.5810910729----110.7831.0581.37944.18532.71625.085

  13600026中海发展332,600.0045,150.00989347--------1.1971.3291.4818.36816.55214.857

  14600309烟台万华166,333.4482,342.659993471------0.8791.1671.50139.61529.84623.202

  15600298安琪酵母13,570.008,098.15955549--------0.9171.2151.55255.81142.13732.99

  16600467好当家39,600.0021,602.208552571------0.3680.4250.45236.47331.60629.735

  17000568泸州老窖87,139.9737,502.458773251------0.6481.0281.39869.45643.76532.187

  18000410沈阳机床54,547.0929,854.54766246--------0.5020.7231.23643.65130.28517.718

  19000039中集集团266,239.6179,974.37766156--------1.2231.4211.45620.96518.05417.619

  20000063中兴通讯95,952.1748,838.79766426--------1.4081.962.46338.00627.29921.725

  21000983西山煤电121,200.0056,621.01755437--------0.8851.0631.44135.38429.47521.739

  22600036招商银行1,470,377.78471,014.82777336--------0.7221.0371.36338.08226.51120.163

  23601600中国铝业1,288,660.79114,807.74755156--------0.9371.0641.18621.96419.34817.354

  24600900长江电力941,208.55446,273.55655325--------0.5010.5790.70529.74825.76921.138

  25600383金地集团83,907.6942,750.006663141------0.8661.1971.57741.02729.6822.53

  26600428中远航运65,520.0032,675.966551123------1.1641.2831.52118.84617.09614.416

  27600269赣粤高速116,766.7561,912.27656426--------0.8140.8740.9816.43415.29113.643

  28600276恒瑞医药43,107.1724,975.72666415--------0.6580.9751.02763.46342.8240.68

  29600586金晶科技22,285.1910,469.55644246--------0.4730.8111.08742.66424.89118.571

  30600596新安股份28,678.6519,674.37666235--------1.3161.6242.27631.08225.18117.97

  31600522中天科技27,080.3016,545.966551341------0.2790.4380.56842.60527.08220.916

  32600600青岛啤酒130,821.9223,575.55666145--1--10.4220.5480.80560.05346.18831.463

  33600685广船国际49,467.7616,062.906555--5--------1.3241.7472.22835.41526.84921.049

  34600029南方航空437,417.80100,000.006552351------0.2430.5230.7136.32216.89112.451

  35600030中信证券298,150.00221,456.83655246--------2.5263.0552.1122.09418.26326.445

  36000755山西三维39,105.3920,237.70655246--------0.8511.2051.50332.37722.86218.336

  37000002万科A655,484.81488,140.59666415--------0.4990.7281.01542.46529.13120.896

  38000401冀东水泥96,277.0651,457.33645--66--------0.3960.6240.90433.42721.23414.657

  39000423东阿阿胶52,376.3640,268.22655516--------0.410.5430.65868.55851.79242.72

  40000651格力电器80,541.0051,038.67655415--------1.0661.4452.07132.23823.77116.594

  41000625长安汽车194,501.9055,509.88533415--------0.4830.7420.8725.6516.70514.242

  42000550江铃汽车86,321.4020,168.57534325--------0.7640.8881.13821.52218.51214.446

  43000338潍柴动力52,065.3617,551.30555235--------2.6743.2053.3928.42723.7122.419

  44000001深发展A208,675.84155,029.825553141------0.9181.3221.74130.64421.26716.151

  45000792盐湖钾肥76,755.0033,600.00544224--------1.4291.7672.0927.15121.96318.561

  46000869张裕A52,728.008,306.69555235--------1.1381.5121.99750.07337.67628.524

  47000898鞍钢股份593,298.57105,308.38555134--------1.5862.0042.54911.8569.3797.377

  48600096云天化53,635.0321,020.83544235--------1.2531.5531.7517.63214.22912.629

  49600062双鹤药业44,107.5724,534.34544314--------0.5930.841.2532.61223.03615.48

  50600143金发科技63,700.0026,863.315452131------0.6930.9461.4354.05839.60326.21

  统计截止日期:2007-07-13

  数据来源:上海朝阳永续永续投资咨询有限公司(Go-Goal业绩预测系统)www.go-goal.com;www.china-yjy.com

    新浪声明:本版文章内容纯属作者个人观点,仅供投资者参考,并不构成投资建议。投资者据此操作,风险自担。

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