石油供应趋紧的迹象导致油价上涨

石油供应趋紧的迹象导致油价上涨
2021年07月23日 09:57 中国石化新闻网

原标题:石油供应趋紧的迹象导致油价上涨

  中国石化新闻网讯 据7月22日MENAFN消息:随着经济从冠状病毒危机中复苏,油价周四上涨,延续前几个交易日的强劲涨幅,因预期供应将在年底前趋紧。

  格林尼治标准时间11:00,布伦特原油上涨77美分,至每桶73美元,涨幅1.1%,前一交易日上涨4.2%。美国西德克萨斯中质油(WTI)上涨81美分,涨幅1.15%,至每桶71.11美元,比前一天上涨4.6%。

  摩根士丹利在一份报告中表示:“石油需求复苏出现了一些短板,但这不太可能从根本上改变前景。”

  欧佩克成员国和包括俄罗斯在内的其他产油国本周达成一项协议,即从8月至12月,每天增加40万桶石油供应,以冷却油价,满足日益增长的需求。

  但摩根士丹利表示,下半年需求仍将超过供应,导致布伦特原油价格在2021年剩余时间处于每桶70美元的中高位。

  “最终,全球国内生产总值(GDP)复苏可能会保持在正轨上,库存数据继续令人鼓舞,我们的余额显示下半年趋紧,预计欧佩克将保持凝聚力,”报告称。

  美国能源情报署数据显示,上周美国原油库存意外增加210万桶,至4.397亿桶,为5月以来首次增加。美国是全球最大的石油消费国。

  巴克莱分析师还预计,全球石油库存将以快于预期的速度回落至疫情前的水平,促使该行将2021年油价预测上调3至5美元,至平均每桶69美元。

  巴克莱周四在一份报告中称:“尽管存在尾部风险,但供需动态表明,未来几个月价格将缓慢走高。”

  冯娟 摘译自 MENAFN

  原文如下:

  Oil prices rise on signs of tightening supplies

  Oil prices rose on Thursday, extending strong gains made in previous sessions on expectations of tighter supplies until the end of the year as economies recover from the coronavirus crisis, Trend reports with reference to Reuters.

  Brent crude rose 77 cents, or 1.1%, to $73 a barrel at 1100 GMT, after rising 4.2% in the previous session. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude rose 81 cents, or 1.15%, to $71.11 a barrel, after rising 4.6% on Wednesday.

  "Some soft spots have emerged in the oil demand recovery, but this is unlikely to change the outlook fundamentally," Morgan Stanley said in a note.

  Members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and other producers including Russia, a group known as OPEC+, agreed this week on a deal to boost oil supply by 400,000 barrels per day from August to December to cool prices and meet growing demand.

  But demand was still set to outstrip supply in the second half, leading Brent prices to trade in the mid to high-$70s per barrel for the remainder of 2021, Morgan Stanley said.

  "In the end, the global GDP (gross domestic product) recovery will likely remain on track, inventory data continues to be encouraging, our balances show tightness in H2 and we expect OPEC to remain cohesive," it said.

  Crude inventories in the United States, the world's top oil consumer, rose unexpectedly by 2.1 million barrels last week to 439.7 million barrels, up for the first time since May, U.S. Energy Information Administration data showed.

  Barclays analysts also expected a faster-than-expected draw in global oil inventories to pre-pandemic levels, prompting the bank to raise its 2021 oil price forecast by $3 to $5 to average $69 a barrel.

  "Notwithstanding the tail risks, supply-demand dynamics point to a slow grind higher in prices over the next few months," Barclays said in a report on Thursday.

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