2019年中东在印度进口中所占份额降至四年低点

2019年中东在印度进口中所占份额降至四年低点
2020年01月22日 14:55 中国石化新闻网

原标题:2019年中东在印度进口中所占份额降至四年低点

中国石化新闻网讯 据烃加工网站1月20日消息 从消息人士处获得的油轮数据显示,印度2019年中东石油进口量降至四年低点,因为这个急需能源的国家将其供应多样化,以降低成本,帮助自己抵御地缘政治紧张局势。

印度是世界第三大石油消费国,进口约84%的石油需求,传统上大部分石油供应依赖中东。然而,由于美国和俄罗斯等国创纪录的产出为进口商提供了开发其他资源的机会,中东在印度原油中的份额从前年的65%下降到去年的60%,为2015年以来的最低水平。

路透社审查的数据显示,2019年印度从中东石油进口量为268万桶/天,较2018年下降约10%,其他地区的石油进口量约为180万桶/天。

Refinitiv分析师Ehsan Ul Haq表示,由沙特阿拉伯承担的欧佩克和盟国削减石油产量的幅度超过预期以及美国制裁导致伊朗供应减少,也削弱了印度对中东石油的进口。

国际能源署在最新报告中称,去年欧佩克及其欧佩克+的制裁和减产,使该组织的供应量从2018年起减少了190万桶/天,而非欧佩克的供应量则增加了200万桶/天。

IEA预测,2020年欧佩克+公约以外的产油国供应量将增加210万桶/天。

印度石油部长Dharmendra Pradhan上周表示,印度正在制定一项战略,使其石油供应来源多样化,以减少对中东的依赖。Dharmendra Pradhan还称,一些炼油厂正在提前谈判,以促进俄罗斯石油进口。

扩大原油来源的努力也反映了莫迪总理推动加强与俄罗斯和美国等国的关系。

数据显示,2019年印度石油进口总量下降约2.1%,至448万桶/天,原因是大多数炼油厂在2020年新燃料标准出台前暂时关闭加工装置进行升级。从4月1日起,印度将转向符合欧六标准的燃料。

数据显示,2019年俄罗斯及联盟国家的进口量增长约65%,至17.1万桶/天。非洲国家进口量上升了7.3%,达到约71.3万桶/天,美国的供应量上升了约63%,达到18.1万桶/天。

2019年,美国石油约占印度总进口量的4%,高于上年同期的2.5%。

吴恒磊 编译自 烃加工

原文如下:

Middle East share of India's oil imports falls to 4-yr-low in 2019

India’s imports of Middle Eastern oil plunged to a four-year low in 2019, tanker data obtained from sources shows, as the energy-hungry nation diversifies its supplies to cut costs and help shield itself from geopolitical tensions.

India, the world’s third-biggest oil consumer, imports about 84% of its oil needs and traditionally relies on the Middle East for the majority of its supplies. However, the region’s share of India’s crude shrank to 60% last year - down from 65% a year ago and the lowest since 2015 - as record output from the United States and countries like Russia offered opportunities for importers to tap other sources.

India shipped in 2.68 million barrels per day (bpd) oil from the Middle East in 2019, down about 10% from 2018, and around 1.8 million bpd from elsewhere, the data reviewed by Reuters showed.

Deeper than expected oil output cuts by OPEC and allies, shouldered by Saudi Arabia, and less supply from Iran due to U.S. sanctions also dented India’s intake of Middle Eastern oil, said Ehsan Ul Haq, analyst with Refinitiv.

Last year, sanctions and output cuts by OPEC and allies, known as OPEC+, reduced the group’s supplies by 1.9 million bpd from 2018, while non-OPEC supply rose by 2 million bpd, the International Energy Agency said in its latest report.

The IEA forecast that producers outside the OPEC+ pact would grow supplies by 2.1 million bpd in 2020.

India is working on a strategy to diversify its oil supply sources to cut dependence on the Middle East, Oil Minister Dharmendra Pradhan said last week, adding that some refiners are in advance negotiations to boost Russian oil imports.

The drive to expand crude sources also reflects a push by Prime Minister Narendra Modi to bolster ties with countries like Russia and the United States.

India’s overall oil imports in 2019 fell by about 2.1% to 4.48 million bpd, the data showed, because most refiners temporarily shut processing units for upgrades ahead of new fuel standards in 2020. India is migrating to Euro VI compliant fuel from April 1.

Imports from CIS nations rose in 2019 by about 65% to 171,000 bpd, the data showed. Intake of African grades rose by 7.3% to about 713,000 bpd, while U.S. supplies surged by about 63% to 181,000 bpd.

U.S. oil accounted for about 4% of India’s overall imports in 2019, up from just 2.5% a year earlier.

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