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新浪财经 > 滚动新闻 > 部委专题--国家统计局 > 正文
日期
预警指数
一致指数
(1996年=100)
先行指数
(1996年=100)
滞后指数
(1996年=100)
1991.01
88.0
99.65
102.01
103.89
1991.02
90.7
99.34
102.22
103.68
1991.03
84.0
99.65
102.77
103.20
1991.04
86.0
100.01
103.46
103.71
1991.05
89.3
101.04
103.84
104.50
1991.06
96.7
101.41
104.29
105.81
1991.07
100.7
101.73
104.34
106.01
1991.08
100.7
101.81
104.77
105.07
1991.09
100.7
101.88
105.50
104.53
1991.10
103.3
102.15
106.28
103.69
1991.11
106.7
102.17
106.61
103.36
1991.12
106.7
102.14
106.58
103.29
1992.01
113.3
103.48
106.93
104.20
1992.02
113.3
104.61
107.65
105.02
1992.03
116.0
104.90
108.49
105.34
1992.04
122.7
103.99
109.42
104.36
1992.05
120.7
102.80
110.20
103.69
1992.06
122.0
103.57
111.39
102.69
1992.07
115.3
104.18
112.22
102.54
1992.08
118.7
105.27
112.38
102.95
1992.09
121.3
105.46
111.03
102.62
1992.10
121.3
105.96
109.46
102.76
1992.11
132.0
106.68
108.59
102.62
1992.12
135.3
107.36
107.30
103.82
1993.01
139.3
109.80
107.38
105.05
1993.02
139.3
111.64
107.63
105.69
1993.03
142.0
113.70
108.24
105.21
1993.04
148.7
113.91
107.36
105.32
1993.05
148.7
114.17
106.09
105.82
1993.06
148.7
113.09
103.84
106.80
1993.07
142.7
111.19
102.26
106.96
1993.08
142.7
109.20
100.86
107.28
1993.09
132.0
107.81
101.25
108.02
1993.10
132.0
107.19
101.34
109.01
1993.11
135.3
108.09
103.62
110.04
1993.12
134.0
108.47
103.36
111.58
1994.01
130.7
106.51
101.77
113.70
1994.02
124.0
104.24
98.30
114.46
1994.03
117.3
103.50
97.15
113.79
1994.04
119.3
104.94
97.32
111.80
1994.05
119.3
105.78
97.26
111.05
1994.06
128.7
107.10
98.80
110.50
1994.07
132.7
108.74
99.71
110.81
1994.08
136.7
109.64
101.28
110.98
1994.09
139.3
109.56
100.80
111.23
1994.10
138.7
109.16
101.06
110.93
1994.11
138.7
108.81
99.33
110.13
1994.12
136.0
107.67
99.95
108.08
1995.01
132.0
106.51
100.74
104.99
1995.02
131.3
105.23
102.61
102.39
1995.03
124.0
104.06
102.66
101.31
1995.04
123.3
102.88
102.31
101.33
1995.05
126.0
102.32
102.10
100.84
1995.06
120.7
101.20
100.91
99.69
1995.07
109.3
100.42
100.52
97.97
1995.08
107.3
99.79
99.60
96.30
1995.09
111.3
100.16
99.93
94.88
1995.10
114.0
99.41
99.35
93.79
1995.11
114.0
99.57
99.89
93.67
1995.12
114.0
100.00
99.64
94.67
1996.01
111.3
101.54
99.39
96.32
1996.02
106.0
100.60
98.82
97.99
1996.03
106.0
100.24
98.67
99.09
1996.04
104.0
99.35
99.25
99.62
1996.05
106.7
99.39
99.99
99.97
1996.06
106.7
99.37
99.73
100.34
1996.07
105.3
99.39
99.81
100.99
1996.08
97.3
99.57
99.73
101.42
1996.09
93.3
99.65
100.81
101.57
1996.10
93.3
100.05
101.22
101.33
1996.11
92.0
100.44
101.46
100.62
1996.12
92.0
99.69
101.48
100.14
1997.01
94.7
98.55
101.52
99.20
1997.02
97.3
98.34
100.95
98.54
1997.03
100.0
98.34
100.83
98.31
1997.04
100.0
98.57
100.07
98.64
1997.05
99.3
98.04
99.70
99.33
1997.06
100.7
97.54
100.32
99.27
1997.07
94.0
97.01
100.27
99.05
1997.08
92.0
96.64
100.55
98.75
1997.09
96.0
96.61
99.60
98.60
1997.10
93.3
96.51
99.51
98.69
1997.11
88.0
95.80
99.34
98.47
1997.12
82.0
94.93
99.11
97.33
1998.01
74.0
94.08
99.26
96.55
1998.02
70.0
94.82
99.20
96.27
1998.03
62.0
94.90
99.07
95.81
1998.04
64.7
94.89
98.64
95.02
1998.05
58.7
94.10
98.01
93.66
1998.06
60.7
94.11
97.53
93.36
1998.07
60.7
94.62
96.82
93.20
1998.08
63.3
94.89
97.01
93.33
1998.09
63.3
94.97
97.65
93.37
1998.10
66.0
95.21
98.83
93.23
1998.11
70.0
95.11
98.73
93.11
1998.12
66.7
94.80
99.20
94.91
1999.01
66.7
94.13
99.18
95.27
1999.02
62.7
92.84
100.33
95.24
1999.03
60.0
92.65
100.19
93.46
1999.04
59.3
92.60
100.90
93.18
1999.05
59.3
93.41
101.32
93.24
1999.06
62.7
93.35
101.21
93.39
1999.07
62.7
93.04
101.37
93.34
1999.08
62.0
93.17
100.46
93.61
1999.09
70.0
93.39
99.80
93.57
1999.10
70.7
94.06
99.06
93.56
1999.11
77.3
94.33
99.85
93.01
1999.12
77.3
96.10
100.65
91.28
2000.01
75.3
96.53
101.18
91.28
2000.02
79.3
97.56
100.94
91.30
2000.03
83.3
96.93
100.99
92.85
2000.04
87.3
97.29
100.40
92.55
2000.05
87.3
97.01
100.04
92.31
2000.06
93.3
97.38
100.17
91.62
2000.07
90.7
97.92
100.21
91.48
2000.08
93.3
97.71
100.35
90.98
2000.09
93.3
97.37
99.89
90.88
2000.10
90.7
96.27
99.61
91.32
2000.11
86.7
95.93
98.90
92.46
2000.12
83.3
95.16
98.57
92.70
2001.01
91.3
96.43
98.63
92.41
2001.02
91.3
96.86
99.11
91.64
2001.03
91.3
97.52
99.62
91.69
2001.04
88.7
96.66
99.74
91.70
2001.05
85.3
96.32
99.69
92.26
2001.06
88.0
95.83
99.73
93.00
2001.07
83.3
95.29
100.10
93.17
2001.08
83.3
95.16
100.37
92.93
2001.09
76.7
95.02
100.31
92.47
2001.10
73.3
95.05
100.16
91.73
2001.11
76.0
95.00
100.33
91.40
2001.12
76.7
95.28
100.70
90.94
2002.01
76.7
94.98
100.72
90.87
2002.02
76.7
95.06
100.76
90.98
2002.03
76.7
95.48
100.67
91.03
2002.04
82.7
96.57
100.71
91.22
2002.05
85.3
97.01
100.82
91.18
2002.06
85.3
97.22
101.03
91.32
2002.07
89.3
97.15
101.21
91.64
2002.08
94.7
97.90
101.52
92.11
2002.09
94.7
98.33
101.65
92.63
2002.10
94.7
98.90
101.95
93.05
2002.11
100.7
98.44
101.37
93.31
2002.12
100.7
99.09
101.58
94.38
2003.01
107.3
100.01
101.87
95.05
2003.02
107.3
100.91
102.19
95.95
2003.03
104.7
100.22
101.32
96.35
2003.04
101.3
99.10
100.45
97.24
2003.05
97.3
99.06
100.53
97.53
2003.06
101.3
99.46
101.17
97.54
2003.07
109.3
99.94
102.00
97.47
2003.08
109.3
99.93
102.03
97.61
2003.09
109.3
99.91
102.38
97.98
2003.10
112.0
99.99
102.41
98.42
2003.11
112.0
100.39
102.58
98.68
2003.12
112.7
101.02
102.69
98.64
2004.01
116.7
101.86
102.41
98.59
2004.02
122.7
102.33
102.53
98.72
2004.03
125.3
102.62
102.38
99.15
2004.04
114.7
102.49
102.33
99.44
2004.05
112.0
102.19
101.65
99.47
2004.06
112.0
101.85
101.08
99.31
2004.07
105.3
101.51
100.84
99.11
2004.08
97.3
101.21
100.88
99.14
2004.09
97.3
101.11
100.71
98.78
2004.10
97.3
101.09
100.75
98.08
2004.11
97.3
101.15
100.67
97.23
2004.12
100.0
100.53
100.98
96.41
2005.01
100.0
100.04
101.21
96.46
2005.02
100.0
99.70
101.49
96.17
2005.03
97.3
99.92
101.82
95.68
2005.04
97.3
100.15
102.24
94.47
2005.05
97.3
100.49
102.60
93.58
2005.06
104.0
100.63
102.60
93.20
2005.07
104.0
100.85
102.47
93.00
2005.08
106.7
100.85
102.41
92.84
2005.09
102.7
100.99
102.31
92.94
2005.10
106.7
100.92
102.00
93.41
2005.11
106.7
100.84
102.05
93.99
2005.12
104.0
101.03
102.22
94.91
2006.01
101.3
100.83
102.67
94.51
2006.02
101.3
100.93
102.88
94.51
2006.03
104.7
100.81
102.83
94.15
2006.04
107.3
101.35
102.54
94.84
2006.05
107.3
101.56
102.32
95.69
2006.06
106.7
101.63
102.04
96.34
2006.07
106.7
101.38
101.90
97.10
2006.08
105.3
101.16
101.99
97.55
2006.09
100.0
100.92
102.28
97.92
2006.10
100.0
100.93
102.50
98.30
2006.11
104.0
100.68
102.53
98.50
2006.12
101.3
101.29
102.90
98.10
2007.01
105.3
101.66
102.60
98.77
2007.02
110.7
102.04
102.15
99.06
2007.03
110.7
102.07
101.83
99.98
2007.04
114.7
102.31
102.37
99.80
2007.05
114.7
102.80
102.96
99.95
(编制方法及简要分析参见www.cemac.org.cn)一致指数是反映当前经济的基本走势,由工业生产、就业、社会需求(投资、消费、外贸)、社会收入(国家税收、企业利润、居民收入)等4个方面合成;先行指数是由一组领先于一致指数的先行指标合成,用于对经济未来的走势进行预测;滞后指数是由落后于一致指数的滞后指标合成得到,它主要用于对经济循环的峰与谷的一种确认;预警指数是把经济运行的状态分为5个级别,“红灯”表示经济过热,“黄灯”表示经济偏热,“绿灯”表示经济运行正常,“浅蓝灯”表示经济偏冷,“蓝灯”表示经济过冷。