仟家信金评：昨夜西风凋碧树

　　昨日黄金再现其3月2日疯狂下跌的一面，开盘680.10，最高680.90，最低664.10，收盘666.90，全天下跌12.70美元。

　　昨天显然市场关注的焦点在于央行的利率会议。各家央行你方唱罢我登场。英国央行，欧洲央行，美联储先后宣布自己的利率决定。西方央行的西风再次造成美元的反弹，从而打压了黄金。美联储在会后的声明中，认为通货膨胀的压力得到缓解，但是仍然存在。(Although inflation pressures seem likely to moderate over time, the high level of resource utilization has the potential to sustain those pressures. )将来的利率政策取决于经济增长＆通胀压力两个方面，这判断这两个方面情况的就是下次利率会议之前发布的数据。

　　另外一个方面，技术性的抛盘以及基金的平仓另黄金雪上加霜。"The dollar has been the fundamental push," said Patrick Lafferty, Commodity Trading Adviser with Fox Investments, a division of Man Financial, adding that technical market factors were lined up for a fall.

　　另一个方面原油和黄金一样，也是处于一个十字路口，从下面的图中可以看出。随着夏季用油高峰的到来，以及随后可能到来的飓风期，原油不宜过分看空。路透社今日早晨报道，美国

　　技术上看，从下面的日线图上看出，黄金的上升轨道并没有得到破坏，或许正如笔者在前期金评中所写道的，此次下跌反而给中线做多者一个良好的买入时机。关键是该趋势线能否构成一个有效的支撑，如果上升趋势线得到完全破坏，那么笔者认为下一个目标位分别为655＆640。

　　今日操作上，建议投资者逢底买多，上方阻力位675，若下破昨日低点即664，则止损并反手做空，目标价位655。

　　(农民与期货)

　　附FOMC STATEMENT

　　The Federal Open Market Committee decided today to keep its target for the federal funds rate at 5-1/4 percent.

　　Economic growth slowed in the first part of this year and the adjustment in the housing sector is ongoing. Nevertheless, the economy seems likely to expand at a moderate pace over coming quarters.

　　Core inflation remains somewhat elevated. Although inflation pressures seem likely to moderate over time, the high level of resource utilization has the potential to sustain those pressures.

　　In these circumstances, the Committee's predominant policy concern remains the risk that inflation will fail to moderate as expected. Future policy adjustments will depend on the evolution of the outlook for both inflation and economic growth, as implied by incoming information.

　　Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Ben S. Bernanke, Chairman; Timothy F. Geithner, Vice Chairman; Thomas M. Hoenig; Donald L. Kohn; Randall S. Kroszner; Cathy E. Minehan; Frederic S. Mishkin; Michael H. Moskow; William Poole; and Kevin M. Warsh.

　　仟家信声明：本版文章内容纯属作者个人观点，仅供投资者参考，并不构成投资建议。投资者据此操作，风险自担。