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http://www.sina.com.cn  2010年05月26日 14:04  文华财经

  * Soybeans, corn stage tentative recovery amid uncertainty

   * Bearish supply fundamentals offset by China demand

   * For short-term technical view, click on [TECH/C]

 

  (Adds details, quotes)

   By Bruce Hextall

   SYDNEY, May 26 (Reuters) - U.S. soybean and grain futures

  rose on Wednesday, pulled up by gains in oil prices and a bounce

  in stocks markets, following sharp falls on Tuesday when worries

  about Europe's debt problems shook global markets.

   A furious late-day rally in U.S. stocks on Tuesday sparked a

  bounce in Asian shares which edged up from nine-month lows on

  Wednesday as value investors hunted for bargains, helping boost

  investor sentiment towards the commodities complex. Oil rose more

  than 1 percent to hold above $69 per barrel. [MKTS/GLOB][O/R]

   "We've seen crude oil higher so it really appears if the

  grains markets are taking their cue from the energy market at the

  moment," said Luke Mathews, a commodity strategist at

  Commonwealth Bank of Australia.

   Soybeans and corn prices are sensitive to changes in energy

  demand as soybeans are used to make biodiesel and corn is used in

  ethanol production, fuel alternatives to gasoline.

   CBOT corn for July delivery advanced 0.75 percent to

  $3.67 per bushel by 0400 GMT after falling 1.8 percent on

  Tuesday.

   Ideal weather conditions have raised prospects of U.S.

  farmers growing a record-large corn crop this year, estimated by

  the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) at 13.4 billion

  bushels.

   The likelihood of a record crop in the United States, the

  world's largest corn exporter, and a bumper crop being harvested

  in Argentina, the number two exporter, point to bearish supply

  fundamentals. But, prices have been supported by Chinese demand.

   China bought U.S. corn for the first time in nearly four

  years last month and to date has bought nearly one million tonnes

  according to a U.S. Grain Council official, FCStone analyst Doug

  Jackson said in a market report.

   "When Chinese buying occurs it makes the trade sit up and

  listen," said Mathews.

   "We saw that with soybeans last year when the market was

  faced with growing global supplies and we had China come into the

  market and buy significant quantities of mainly U.S. supplies

  that helped support prices and we're seeing a bit of repeat of

  that this year with corn," he said.

   China's demand for soybeans has also supported the oilseed's

  price this year but prices are now near a two-month low as

  supplies flow from Brazil, the world's number two soybean

  exporter after the United States.

   Soybeans for July delivery regained 0.54 percent to

  $9.35-? per bushel by 0400 GMT after shedding 1.1 percent on

  Tuesday. The contract faces resistance at $9.40 while the

  November harvest month contract , trading at $9.05, is

  vulnerable to a slide below $9.00 as bearish supply fundamentals

  come to the forefront.

   July wheat rose 0.43 percent to $4.62-? per bushel

  after hitting a contract low on Tuesday.

   "Across the wheat complex there are some crop production

  issues in parts of Ukraine and also parts of northern France but

  I think these concerns are largely outweighed by the fact that

  we're still looking at abundant global supplies," Mathews said.

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