统计局：美国10月大豆压榨量预估1.617亿蒲式耳

　　文华财经（综合编译 兰兰）--据芝加哥11月29日消息，美国统计局(U.S. Census Bureau)公布的月度调查报告显示，美国10月大豆压榨量预估为1.617亿蒲式耳，高于9月的1.423亿蒲式耳。

　　以下是统计局调查结果：

　　 平均 区间 06年9月 05年10月

　　大豆压榨量(百万蒲式耳)161.7 161.0-163.0 142.3 157.7

　　豆油库存(十亿磅) 2.960 2.930-2.972 2.968* 1.895

　　陡坡库存(千短吨) 344.0 300.0-380.0 320.0 304.9

　　*最新的豆油库存数据根据美国统计局文件和11月2日公布的油品报告计算

　　 Providing the market with an indication of potential changes that could be

　　made in the Census report was the National Oilseed Processors Association crush

　　report. In its Nov. 14 report, NOPA said October crush was 154.984 million

　　bushels, up 17.7 million bushels from September. The NOPA report includes

　　figures only from member processors.

　　 The Census and NOPA figures have consistently held a spread of between 6 to 7

　　million bushels, industry analysts said.

　　 Analysts anticipate a large jump in the crush due to seasonal tendencies that

　　translate into sizable increases in crushing activity in the historical

　　month-over-month comparisons for October and September.

　　 The abundance of available new-crop supplies for crushers, strong margins and

　　solid export demand point toward record crushing activity for October, analysts

　　said. Analysts are also focusing on reports of lower-quality new-crop soybeans,

　　forcing crushers to crush more soybeans to make high pro soybean meal.

　　 Soyoil stocks will once again be highlighted, with traders looking for

　　confirmation of the month-over-month soyoil stocks figure holding steady as

　　reported in the NOPA crush report. Another factor that traders will be looking

　　for confirmation on is the drop in soyoil yields from 11.75 to 11.39 pounds per

　　bushel reported in NOPA's October data.

　　 For the products, soyoil stocks are seen declining slightly to 2.960 billion

　　pounds in the report, down from 2.968 billion the previous month. In the NOPA

　　report, soyoil stocks saw a 409,000-pound decrease in stocks.

　　 Despite outlooks for a decline in stocks, the report should show record-

　　large domestic use of soyoil for the month of October, as strong biodiesel use

　　and solid underlying demand serve as catalysts for healthy domestic usage, an

　　analyst said.

　　 October soymeal stocks are seen increasing to 344,000 short tons, up from the

　　320,000 reported for September.