期镍盘初位于纪录高点下方不远处可能再创新高

　　文华财经（综合编译 李志伟）--据伦敦10月10日消息，LME期镍周而欧洲市场早盘在周一触及的纪录高位下方不远处，分析师称，受库存紧张支撑，期镍价格可能再创新高。

　　其他基本金属涨跌不一，但期价波动剧烈，成交量下滑。期铜和期锌上涨，期铝和期铅则下滑。

　　伦敦一交易商称，“目前，镍市供应异常紧张，长期看，仍有上涨潜力，因库存非常紧张。”

　　0804 GMT，三个月期镍报每吨30,100美元，周一收于每吨29,450美元，盘中一度触及30,250美元。

　　周二，LME镍库存减少528吨，总存量3,930吨，（未注销仓单）仅有2,136吨可以供应市场，这不及全球每日的消费量。

　　周一，麦格理研究（Macquarie Research ）大幅上调明后两年的镍和铅价预估值，因预计届时基本金属将"仅有非常少的供应过剩"。

　　 三个月期铜上涨，但是交易商称，期铜可能走低，因供应状况改善。

　　周二，LME铜库存增加325吨，总存量114,025吨。

　　三个月期铜报每吨7,520美元，周一收于每吨7,450美元

　　一分析师称，“铜市供应紧张状况有所缓解，估计今年将重回供应过剩局面。我不太看好期铜。”

　　日本多数铜冶炼厂商纷纷上调下半年铜产量预估，因为需求增加。

　　本周金属产商，消费商和贸易商及金属分析师将聚集伦敦，举行一系列的会议。

　　LME 收盘 支撑位 阻力位 14日RSI 10日MA 30日MA

　　三个月期铜 7450.00 7000 7770 51 7418 7540

　　三个月期铝 2620.00 2456 2710 57 2567 2534

　　 --------------------------------------------------------------

　　 3 MTH KERB CLOSE * SUPPORT * RESIST * RSI14 * MA10 * MA30

　　 COPPER 7430.00 * 7000 * 7770 * 50 * 7397 * 7538

　　 ALUMINIUM 2585.00 * 2456 * 2710 * 57 * 2572 * 2538

　　 --------------- VIEWS FROM THE MARKET - Oct 11 ---------------

　　 * LME copper falls on stronger gold [ID:nSHA259844]

　　 * BH P,Mitsubishi eye bauxite,alumina in Cambodia [ID:nSYD68998]

　　 * New Caledonia strike hurting miner Eramet [ID:nSYD89667]

　　 * Alcoa profit surges but misses expectations [ID:nN10371329]

　　 * COMEX copper futures end lower [ID:nN10521747]

　　 * Yen slips, stocks regain footing [ID:nHKG138160]

　　 LONDON, Oct 11 (Reuters) - Nickel futures on the London

　　Metal exchange fell on Wednesday as investors took profits from

　　this week's record high prices, but the metal was poised to make

　　new highs, dealers said.

　　 Nickel for sale in three months fell $29,500/29,700 a

　　tonne by 0803 GMT, compared with its previous close at $29,700

　　and Monday's record high of $30,250.

　　 "Nickel is down because of profit taking but the market

　　remains very tight," said a metals trader in London.

　　 "Another record high is quite likely in the near term. Only

　　a very brave person would want to short the nickel market with

　　so much tightness approaching," he added.

　　 Stocks at LME registered warehouses are currently at 4,020

　　tonnes, around a day of global consumption.

　　 Standard Bank said in a report it had taken a bullish view

　　for the market for the remainder of 2006 and 2007, seeing the

　　fundamental outlook for the market as remarkably strong.

　　 "This should also serve to keep a solid level of speculative

　　and investment fund interest in the market, exacerbating price

　　swings in what promises to be a volatile year for nickel in

　　2007," the report said.

　　 Copper futures also fell, with three-month futures

　　trading at $7,415 a tonne, compared with Tuesday's close of

　　$7,430. Copper stocks deliverable to the LME fell 125 tonnes to

　　113,900 tonnes.

　　 The London trader said that market participants made

　　repeated attempts to test the upside, but failed. The upside

　　momentum appeared to have slowed, he added.

　　 In Shanghai, most-active copper contract, December, ended

　　the morning session down 0.5 percent at 69,460 yuan ($8,873) a

　　tonne in thin trading.

　　 Shanghai traders have hesitantly rolled positions to

　　December, now the most-active month in Shanghai. November

　　volumes had stayed relatively high for longer than usual, as

　　traders were reluctant to commit to positions in a market that

　　has been rangebound since July.