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2006 China Macro-Economy Forecast Spring Annual Conference
INVITATION LETTER
large scale: Top 10 strongest research institutions in China including CICC, BOC International, Development Research Center of State Council and etc.
Leading economists: Cao Yuanzheng, Fred Hu, Lu Zhongyuan, Song
Guoqing, Wang Tongsan, Zhang Shuguang, and etc.
Authoritative data: GDP, interest rate, exchange rate, inflation and etc.
Invitation Letter
2006 China Macro-Economy Forecast Spring Annual Conference
Dear Sir or Madam,
We are greatly honored to invite you to attend the award ceremony for the forecast of Chinese macro-economy of the year, also referred to as “2006 China Macro-Economy Forecast Spring Annual Conference” to be held in February 2006. With promotion and support from many prestigious economists and renowned institutions, “China Macro-Economy Forecast” has been successfully held for 5 successive years and has received close attention among the local industry since its birth.
Present at the conference will be economists and officials from the economic-related departments, who will address their analyses and judgments on the latest development of Chinese economic operation. It is our sincere wish that the conference will help to disseminate the information of macro-economy research more effectively, make the research results better serve the society and guide the direction of investment, and enable people in all fields to further understand the future trend of Chinese economy.
Given your influence and authority in macro-economy and the related fields, we hereby invite you as the guest speaker for the conference.
Your presence will make a difference for this event. We look forward to your participation and cooperation.
Securities Market Weekly
Editor-in-Chief Wang Boming
January 3rd, 2006
China Macro-Economy Forecast Spring Annual Conference
Large scale: the top 10 strongest research institutions in China including CICC, BOC International, Development Research Center of State Council and etc.
Leading economists: Cao Yuanzheng, Fred Hu, Lu Zhongyuan, Song Guoqing, Wang Tongsan, Zhang Shuguang, and etc.
Authoritative data: GDP, interest rate, exchange rate, inflation and etc.
“Foresight Cup”: Annual excellence award for macro-economy forecast
Securities Market Weekly invites the top 10 authoritative forecast institutions in China to publish quarterly forecast data including GDP, CPI, imports and exports, fixed asset investments, industrial added value, and total retail sales of social commodities, and covers exclusive reports on analyses of all items of data by each economic operating management department concerned. Our magazine also organizes special features on the most obvious macro-economic issues every year. In recent years, on issues such as RMB revaluation, huge foreign exchange reserves and international trade disputes, we invited Professor Song Guoqing, a prominent expert on macro-economic issues, to compose articles entitled ‘Chinese residents “robbed” of RMB 700 billion’, ‘Foreign exchange reserves precarious as stacking eggs’ and etc.
The winner will be selected based on the whole-year data published by the National Bureau of Statistics, and will be awarded the “Foresight Cup” and prize money on our annual conference.
Conference Committee:
Secretary-General:Yu Ying, Managing Editor in Chief, Securities Market Weekly
Deputy Secretary-Genereal: Wang Jiangwei, Associate Editor, Securities Market Weekly
Secretariat: He Junni , Ren Lu, Wang Yinglin
Tel: 86-10-85650514/85650515/85650242
Fax: 86-10-85650525
E-Mail: zhoukan@vip.sina.com
2006 China Macro-Economy Forecast Spring Annual Conference
Agenda
February 24th,2006
Crown Plaza Park View Wuzhou , Beijing, China
8:30am-9:00am Registration
9:00am-9:10am Welcome Speech by Wang Boming, Editor-in-Chief, Securities Market Weekly
9:10am-9:20am 2005 China Macro-Economy Forecast Award Ceremony
9:20am-9:30am Speech by the Guest
Unit 1
9:30am-10:15am Session I: The Trend of the World Economic Development in 2006
Subjects: The Analysis of Trend of the World Economic Growth
Energy, Natural Resources, Surging Oil Prices and Global Economic Growth
The Influence of China’s Economic Development on the World Economy
Chair: Justin Lin, Director, CCER, Peking University
Speakers: Stephen Roach, Chief Economist,Morgan Stanley.
Jonathan Anderson, Chief Economist for Asia, UBS
Robert Subbaraman, Senior Economist for Asia, Lehman Brothers Inc.
Commenters: Fred Hu, Managing Director, Goldman Sachs
Desmond Supple, head of Asia and Global Emerging Markets Research, Barclays Capital
Wang Jian, Deputy General Secretary, China Macro-Economic Society
Tao Dong,Chief Economist,Credit Suisse First Boston for Asia
10:15am-11:00am Session II: The Analysis of Indicators of China’s Economic Growth Forecast
Subjects: The Prospects and Policy Orientation of China’s Economic and Social Development
The Influence of Changes in the Global Importing and Exporting Environment on China’s Economy and Our Strategy
The Changes in the Consumption Demand and the Adjustments of Consumption Structure
The Analysis and Forecast of the Price Trend
Chair: Yi Gang, Assistant Governor, People’s Bank of China
Speaker: Lu Zhongyuan, Director of Research Department of Macro-Economy, Development Research Center of the State Council
Li Daokui, Mansfield Freeman Chair Professor of Economics,Director of Center for
China in the world Economy,Tsinghua University
Commenters: Qiu Xiaohua, Deputy Commissioner, National Bureau of Statistics
Zhang Shuguang, Chairman, Unirule Institute of Economics, Beijing
Li Lianzhong, Head of Economy Bureau, Policy Research Center of the CPC Central
Committee
Andy Xie, Managing Director, Morgan Stanley
11:00am-11:15am Tea Break
Unit 2
11:15am-12:00am Session III: The Analysis of Inflation, Interest Rate and Exchange Rate
Chair: Fred Hu, Managing Director, Goldman Sachs
Speaker: Ma Jun, Chief Economist for Greater China, Deutsche Bank
Commenters: Wang Tongsan, Director, Institute of Quantitative and Technical Economics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences
Ha Jiming, Chief Economist, CICC
Song Guoqing, Professor, CCER, Peking University
12:00am-12:45am Session IV:
Industrial development and the Trend of Enterprise Profit in 2006
Chair: Liu Shijin, Director of Industrial Economy Research Institute, Development Research Center of the State Council
Speaker: Xu Xiaonian, Chief Economist, Gao Hua Securities Co.
Gao shanwen,Chief Economist, Everbright Securities Co
Commenters: Xie Ping, General Manager, Central Huijin Investment Company
Liang Hong, Chief Economist for Asia, Goldman Sachs
Cao Yuanzheng, Chief Economist, BOC International
12:45am-1:45pm Lunch Buffet
Unit 3
2:00pm-2:45pm Session V: Corporate Governance and M&A in an All-Tradable Era
Chair: Li Qingyuan, Director-General, Research Center, China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC)
Speaker: Donald Tang, Deputy Chairman, Bear Stearns
Commenters: Mark Shafir, Head of Global M&A Department, Lehman Brothers Inc.
Liu Jipeng, Professor, Capital University of Economics and Business
Xiao Shiqing, Deputy Director, Issuing Department, China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC)
Zhu Li, Chairman, China Galaxy Securities Co. Ltd.
Wang Dongming, Chairman, CITIC Securities Co. Ltd.
Yang Hua, Director, Regulatory Department of Listed Companies, China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC)
Wang Linxiang, Chairman, ErdospuorgCorporation
2:45pm-3:30pm Session VI: Warrants and Derivatives: Creation of the Capital Market
Chair: Liu Xiaodong, Deputy General Manager, Shanghai Stock Exchange
Speaker: Vincent Chen, Head of Research for China, Credit Suisse First Boston
Commenters: Andrew Cheung, Vice President, JP Morgan Worldwide Securities Services
Timothy Condon, Head of Research, ING Asia
Simon Jin, President, Swiss Bank Beijing Branch
3:30pm-3:45pm Tea Break
Unit 4
3:45pm-5:00pm Session VII: China Real Estate Industry Report
Subject: The Trend of Real Estate Development in 2006, e.g. Price, Increasing rate, Demand, Land
Supply
Chair: Feng Lun, Chairman, Vantonepuorg
Speaker: Xie Jiajin, Director, Department of General Affairs, Ministry of Construction
Commenters: Zhou Qiren, Professor, CCER, Peking University
Ha Jiming, Chief Economist, CICC
5:00pm-6:30pm Session VIII: Investment and Financing Products and Creation in China Real Estate Industry
Subject: Existence and Development of China Real Estate Companies, e.g. Investment and Financing
Chair: Fang Fang, Managing Director for China Area, JP Morgan Chase & Co.
Speaker: Raymond Yu, General Manager, Head of China division, BEA
Representative of Morgan Stanley Real Estate Fund
Representative of Temasek Real Estate Fund
6:30pm-8:30pm Dinner Banquet and Award Ceremony for Credit Rating of China Real Estate Companies
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