芝加哥8月6日消息:美国时间下周四早晨,美国农业部(USDA)将公布8月份月度供需报告。以下是分析师在截止8月1日作物生长条件的基础上对美国2004年大豆、玉米作物产量的预测(产量单位为十亿蒲式耳;单产单位为蒲式耳/英亩):
平均预测预测区间 USDA7月份报告 2003年实际 产量 大豆2.9652.881-3.042 2.9402.418玉米10.784 10.622-11.007 10.635 10.114 单产 大豆40.239.2-41.3 39.933.4玉米14
7.0145.0-149.6 145.0 142.2各机构具体预测: 大豆 玉米 产量 单产产量 单产A.G.Edwards& Sons2.985 40.510.800 147.2Allendale 2.94840.110.919149.6Barrington Commod. Brokers 2.889 39.710.734146.8CargillInvestor Services 2.989 40.510.730 146.2Citigroup 3.01041.010.715146.8FC Stone 2.982 40.510.938 149.1Fimat Futures2.92339.510.644145.6GWS Weather Model3.033 41.210.695 145.8Kropf &LoveConsulting 2.889 39.210.863 148.0The Linn Group3.01040.910.952149.3North American Risk Mang. 2.960 40.210.660145.3Midwest MarketSolutions 2.955 n/a10.850 n/aMID-CO CommoditiesInc. 2.88139.210.622 145.2OConnor 2.920 39.610.720146.0Progressive Ag.3.01040.910.980 149.6Prudential Securities2.994 40.710.711 146.5RJOBrien 3.022 40.110.726 146.2STA TradingServices3.042 41.310.847147.9Stewart-Peterson2.911 39.510.635145.0US Commodities2.93339.810.716 147.0WEFA2.986 40.411.007147.7(来源:天琪期货)
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